The Rip Report · RipIndex

The Rip Report

Week of August 3, 2026
How this is measured ↗

Pulls are read from each site's public feed or the chain, valued at each site's own price. Cash-back is realized — what real opens actually paid at each site's own buyback, over the trailing 7 days — never theoretical EV. Never referral-ranked. Wallets shown are public on-chain data, truncated. Read the full methodology.

Almost every pack on every site we track is −EV over the long run — and when our data says one isn't, we show that too. What changes week to week is where the money actually went, who got cooked, and who hit. Here's the tape.

-3.7% Across every site we measure, players got back 3.7% less than they paid — the house edge, in one number.
302,797 pulls read across Collector Crypt, Phygitals, Courtyard, GachaPull, Monster · trailing 7 days
OFF THE MENU

Collector Crypt's storefront shows 24 machines. Their API returns 51.

One of the ones you can't see is named, by them, “exclusive low ev.” We measured it.

Collector Crypt's gacha page lists two dozen machines. We ask their API for the full roster and get 51 — of which 24 are flagged public. The other 27 don't appear on the storefront, and as far as we can tell you cannot reach them at all: the deep link we publish gets stripped down to the homepage, and adding the pack code to the URL by hand does nothing. They aren't listed, and they aren't linkable.

They are, however, being opened. Across the 14 unlisted machines we track, at least $1.66M of packs were opened in 30 days. Four of them account for almost all of it: $550,000 through a $2,500 Snorlax machine, $547,500 through a $250 Charizard one, $330,500 and $186,060 through two more. We say “at least” because 27 are unlisted and we only track 14 — the real figure is larger, and we won't guess by how much.

Now the part that made us write this up. One of these machines carries a name Collector Crypt gave it, and the name is “exclusive low ev, high potential win.” That's not our label. It's the string their own API returns.

So we measured it, because a name proves nothing. Its house edge comes out at −10.30% — the worst of any machine on our board, and 1.8× the −5.70% median of the packs that are listed. On a $100 pack you're handing over about $10.30 a pull, against roughly $5.70 on a typical listed one. Their name for it is accurate. We can't tell you their intent. We can tell you the number agrees with the label.

Two things we are not saying, because both are tempting and neither is supported. First, unlisted does not mean secret: one of these machines is sold openly on Jupiter as a headline pack, so for some of them “not on Collector Crypt's storefront” just means “sold through a partner instead.” Second, we can't tell you unlisted packs are systematically worse. They lean that way — a −6.49% median against −5.70% — but that's nine machines, and a listed pack beats an unlisted one about a third of the time. That's a pattern, not a finding, and we'd rather label it honestly than dress it up.

What we did about it: we pulled the unreachable ones off our board — seven machines that were showing an “Open on Collector Crypt” button leading to a page where they don't exist. Not because the data is bad; it's some of the most interesting data we have. But a card on our board is an invitation to go open something, and an invitation you can't accept isn't a service. The ones you genuinely can open stayed — including, as it happens, the “low ev” machine itself, which is one of the two sold through Jupiter. You can still find that one. Now you know what it costs you.

Method, 2026-08-02: roster and public flags from Collector Crypt's own machine API (51 returned, 24 public); 30-day volumes are our recorded pull ledger multiplied by each machine's pack price, so they are gross player spend and not site revenue; house edge is model EV ÷ price − 1 from the same live board payload we publish. Machine name quoted verbatim from the API's name field. Edge comparison: 9 unlisted vs 22 listed machines.

Biggest hits of the week

$102,000 20.4× the pack
2002 #3 Charizard-Holo PSA 10 Le
Collector Crypt
$57,000 11.4× the pack
2001 #13 Umbreon CGC 10 Pristine
Collector Crypt
$54,500 21.8× the pack
2002 #107 Shining Charizard 1st
Collector Crypt
$45,000 9× the pack
2002 #109 Shining Mewtwo 1st Edi
Collector Crypt
$42,700 17.1× the pack
1999 #4 Charizard HOLO R/(Thin S
Collector Crypt
$42,200 42.2× the pack
2007 #100 Flareon-Holo Gold Star
Collector Crypt
$42,000 16.8× the pack
2007 #101 Jolteon-Holo Gold Star
Collector Crypt
$40,000 40× the pack
2004 #105 CHARIZARD EX-HOLO PSA
Collector Crypt

Best & worst packs

Least-bad this week

Football 100 Gacha PackCollector Crypt · $100 · n=877
+9.1%realized
Baseball 250 Gacha PackCollector Crypt · $250 · n=494
+6.1%realized
One Piece Emperor PackCollector Crypt · $1,000 · n=795
+1.7%realized
UltraMonster · $1,250 · n=4,423
-1.2%realized
MonsterMonster · $250 · n=11,461
-2.7%realized

Roughest this week

Pokémon Platinum PackCourtyard · $500 · n=235
-20.6%realized
Platinum Pack · PokémonPhygitals · $500 · n=298
-18.3%realized
Pokemon Starter PackGachaPull · $25 · n=470
-18.1%realized
Pokémon: The Amazing Chase Day 2Courtyard · $39 · n=3,006
-17.6%realized
Pokémon Ultra PackCourtyard · $250 · n=320
-17.6%realized

Smallest buy, biggest multiple

Best value-to-cost hits of the week
Brilliant Stars Booster Box GachaPull
144.8× $724 on $5
2016 Pokemon XY Evolutions Prerelease Staff Holo Charizard #11 PSA 9 MINT Phygitals
103.2× $5,160 on $50
2000 Pokemon Gym Challenge 1st Edition Holo Misty's Gyarados #13 PSA 10 Phygitals
95.6× $4,781 on $50
2006 Pokemon Ex Dragon Frontiers Japanese 1st Edition Holo Charizard Gold Star #52 CGC 6.5 Phygitals
95.2× $4,761 on $50
1999 #94 Sabrina's Gengar-Holo P Collector Crypt
90× $9,000 on $100

Who ripped the most

Highest-volume wallets this week · public on-chain data, truncated
AT1i…47ea Collector Crypt
5,524 pulls $627,675 spent
3mWp…6wMj Collector Crypt
5,379 pulls $794,350 spent
Focu…ZvKs Collector Crypt
3,965 pulls $138,150 spent
7nB5…nPKW Collector Crypt
3,907 pulls $234,950 spent
8oQz…iCJG Collector Crypt
3,038 pulls $196,675 spent

Price & odds movers

Changes we caught across the packs we watch
One Piece Diamond Pack Courtyard
price $800 → $1,000
Pokémon Mythic Pack Courtyard
price $4,500 → $5,000
Pokémon Legend Pack Courtyard
price $2,000 → $2,500
One Piece Diamond Pack Courtyard
price $1,000 → $800
Pokémon Legend Pack Courtyard
price $2,500 → $2,000
Pokémon Mythic Pack Courtyard
price $5,000 → $4,500
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Share on X This is gambling. Almost every pack we track is −EV. This is the receipt, not advice.

Past issues

Every prior week, frozen as published