Phygitals: published odds, audited live
Solana · graded-card packs · publishes odds (we audit + verify on-chain) · data refreshed 2026-10-20 08:24 UTC · by RipIndex, independent — methodology
Phygitals (phygitals.com) is a Solana marketplace whose “Fanatics-style” packs rip random graded cards with published odds and an instant sell-back. It's the third-largest platform we track by volume. RipIndex ingests its live pull feed, audits the published odds against what actually drops, and — because pulls mint real NFTs — verifies pulls on-chain (99.9% of the recorded pulls we've checked confirm as real Solana assets).
Live: the two EV numbers that matter
| Pack | Price | Theoretical edge | Cash-out edge | Pulls (7d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar Pack | $1 | -6.0% | -6.0% | 184,634 |
| Rookie Pack · Pokémon | $25 | +4.7% | -11.0% | 14,451 |
| Elite Pack · Pokémon | $50 | +2.1% | -13.2% | 5,146 |
| Legend Pack · Pokémon | $250 | +3.8% | -6.6% | 1,014 |
| Platinum Pack · Pokémon | $500 | +2.7% | -7.6% | 371 |
| Mythic Pack · Pokémon | $1,000 | +2.9% | -7.4% | 520 |
| Rookie Pack · Riftbound | $10 | -9.5% | -9.5% | 442 |
| Starter Pack · Riftbound | $25 | -6.4% | -6.4% | 1,170 |
| Elite Pack · Riftbound | $50 | -6.9% | -6.9% | 67 |
| Pro Pack · Riftbound | $100 | -8.0% | -8.0% | 651 |
| Starter Pack · One Piece | $25 | +4.7% | -11.0% | 2,245 |
| Elite Pack · One Piece | $50 | +1.0% | -14.1% | 991 |
| East Blue Pack | $80 | +3.1% | -12.4% | 696 |
| Legend Pack · One Piece | $250 | +2.0% | -8.2% | 120 |
Read the two edge columns together: the theoretical edge (published card values vs price) often shows positive, but the cash-out edge — what you'd actually clear selling straight back — is negative on every pack. Same pattern as everywhere in this category; Phygitals just lets us show it precisely because it publishes its numbers.
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Frequently asked
Is Phygitals legit?
The pulls are real — we verify them as actual Solana NFTs (99.9% of those we've checked confirm on-chain), the odds are published, and our feed audit runs continuously. Real, and still −EV once you cash out: the sell-back edge is negative on every pack.
Phygitals shows positive EV on some packs — is that real?
The theoretical edge (published values vs price) can read positive. The cash-out edge — applying the actual sell-back — is negative across the board. Both numbers are in the table above; the difference is the house margin.
Is this the same as Phygital+?
No — Phygital+ is an unrelated AI design product. This page covers phygitals.com, the sports/TCG card gacha marketplace.
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