Phygitals: published odds, audited live
Solana · graded-card packs · publishes odds (we audit + verify on-chain) · data refreshed 2026-07-05 16:25 UTC · by RipIndex, independent — methodology
Phygitals (phygitals.com) is a Solana marketplace whose “Fanatics-style” packs rip random graded cards with published odds and an instant sell-back. It's the third-largest platform we track by volume. RipIndex ingests its live pull feed, audits the published odds against what actually drops, and — because pulls mint real NFTs — verifies pulls on-chain (99%+ of recorded pulls check out as real Solana assets).
Live: the two EV numbers that matter
| Pack | Price | Theoretical edge | Cash-out edge | Pulls (7d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rookie Pack | $25 | +7.0% | -9.1% | 5,788 |
| Elite Pack | $50 | +3.9% | -11.7% | 3,790 |
| Legend Pack | $250 | +2.7% | -7.6% | 2,122 |
| Platinum Pack | $500 | +3.7% | -6.6% | 326 |
| Mythic Pack | $1,000 | +3.9% | -6.5% | 344 |
| Starter Pack | $25 | +3.7% | -11.8% | 1,654 |
| Elite Pack | $50 | +0.7% | -14.4% | 803 |
| East Blue Pack | $80 | +3.2% | -12.3% | 1,321 |
| Legend Pack | $250 | +2.1% | -8.1% | 706 |
| Platinum Pack | $500 | +2.7% | -7.6% | 443 |
| Mythic Pack | $1,000 | +3.4% | -6.9% | 98 |
| Starter Pack | $50 | +2.6% | -12.8% | 247 |
| Legend Pack | $250 | +4.7% | -5.8% | 94 |
| Platinum Pack | $500 | +4.0% | -6.5% | 21 |
Read the two edge columns together: the theoretical edge (published card values vs price) often shows positive, but the cash-out edge — what you'd actually clear selling straight back — is negative on every pack. Same pattern as everywhere in this category; Phygitals just lets us show it precisely because it publishes its numbers.
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Frequently asked
Is Phygitals legit?
The pulls are real — we verify them as actual Solana NFTs (99%+ of recorded pulls confirm on-chain), the odds are published, and our feed audit runs continuously. Real, and still −EV once you cash out: the sell-back edge is negative on every pack.
Phygitals shows positive EV on some packs — is that real?
The theoretical edge (published values vs price) can read positive. The cash-out edge — applying the actual sell-back — is negative across the board. Both numbers are in the table above; the difference is the house margin.
Is this the same as Phygital+?
No — Phygital+ is an unrelated AI design product. This page covers phygitals.com, the sports/TCG card gacha marketplace.