The Rip Report · RipIndex

The Rip Report

Week of July 27, 2026
How this is measured ↗

Pulls are read from each site's public feed or the chain, valued at each site's own price. Cash-back is realized — what real opens actually paid at each site's own buyback, over the trailing 7 days — never theoretical EV. Never referral-ranked. Wallets shown are public on-chain data, truncated. Read the full methodology.

Almost every pack on every site we track is −EV over the long run — and when our data says one isn't, we show that too. What changes week to week is where the money actually went, who got cooked, and who hit. Here's the tape.

-4.6% Across every site we measure, players got back 4.6% less than they paid — the house edge, in one number.
282,841 pulls read across Collector Crypt, Phygitals, Courtyard, GachaPull, Monster · trailing 7 days
NEW STAT

Worst case, a pull returns 3¢ on the dollar. Or 52¢. Same site.

We put a “min return” floor on every pack card — the guaranteed worst-pull cash-back nobody lines up side by side.

Every pack has a floor: the cheapest card it can possibly hand you, sold straight back at the site's instant sellback rate. That's the most you can lose on one open, made concrete. This week we put that number — the floor (min return) — on every pack card on the board, computed only where it's exact: the site's own published minimum, or (for Collector Crypt, which publishes none) the cheapest card actually sitting in the live pool we track.

Lined up side by side, the spread is wild. On most sites the floor clusters in a civilized band: Collector Crypt machines 44–90% of cost, Courtyard 42–63%, Monster 46–57%. Open a $25 CC Starter and the worst card in the pool still sells back for $11.05 — a bad night, not a wipeout.

Then there's GachaPull. Their floor is a number they publish themselves — a per-pack “minimum guarantee” — and it runs from 52% of cost on the $1,500 One Piece Emperor Collector Pack down to 3% on the $9 Dragon Ball Super Rip. Three percent. The guaranteed worst case on that pack is a card that sells back for 25 cents. The cheap “Rip” packs are the harshest as a class: floors of 3–10%, while the same site's big collector packs guarantee ~half your money back.

To be clear about what a floor is not: it isn't EV, and a high floor doesn't make a pack a better bet — every pack on the board is still −EV. What the floor tells you is the shape of a bad pull. A 50% floor means variance; a 3% floor means a miss is close to a total loss. That's worth knowing before you open, and now it's on every card.

Method: min return = worst possible pull × instant sellback, shown only where exact — sites' own published minimums as-is (GachaPull, Phygitals, Monster, Courtyard; Beezie labeled as their unverifiable claim), Collector Crypt computed from the live pool snapshot. 118 packs carried the stat on launch day; Tilt Rips is excluded (floor varies by volatility mode and their odds aren't verifiable).

Biggest hits of the week

$85,000 34× the pack
2001 #65 Shining Gyarados-Holo 1
Collector Crypt
$65,000 26× the pack
1998 #129 Magikarp P BGS 9 Tamam
Collector Crypt
$56,122 44.9× the pack
2002 Pokemon Neo Destiny #107 Shining Charizard 1st Edition
Monster
$54,000 21.6× the pack
1996 #6 Charizard-Prism PSA 10 J
Collector Crypt
$45,000 18× the pack
2002 #109 Shining Mewtwo 1st Edi
Collector Crypt
$43,177 8.6× the pack
2002 Pokemon Expedition Holo Mewtwo #20 PSA 10
Phygitals
$42,700 42.7× the pack
1999 #4 Charizard HOLO R/(Thin S
Collector Crypt
$42,200 16.9× the pack
2007 #100 Flareon-Holo Gold Star
Collector Crypt

Best & worst packs

Least-bad this week

Mythic Pack · PokémonPhygitals · $1,000 · n=260
+15.0%realized
OutlawMonster · $500 · n=1,207
+3.3%realized
One Piece OP16 JP RipGachaPull · $2 · n=2,394
+0.5%realized
Basketball 250 PackCollector Crypt · $250 · n=533
-0.0%realized
Legend Pack · PokémonPhygitals · $250 · n=1,143
-0.9%realized

Roughest this week

Sealed Pokémon BoosterCourtyard · $15 · n=7,887
-21.7%realized
Sealed Pokémon BoosterCourtyard · $25 · n=18,636
-17.6%realized
The Eras Collection: EncoreCourtyard · $69 · n=632
-16.6%realized
Pokémon Platinum (Spicy)Courtyard · $499 · n=444
-16.0%realized
One Piece Master PackCourtyard · $100 · n=305
-14.6%realized

Smallest buy, biggest multiple

Best value-to-cost hits of the week
2025 Riftbound League of Legends Origins Signature Overnumber Ahri Nine Tailed Fox #303* PSA 10 Phygitals
344.8× $8,620 on $25
2004 Pokemon Clash of the Blue Sky Japanese 1st Edition Holo Latios Gold Star #66 BGS 9.5 Phygitals
158.6× $7,930 on $50
2004 Pokemon Clash of the Blue Sky Japanese 1st Edition Holo Latios Gold Star #66 BGS 9.5 Phygitals
158.6× $7,930 on $50
OP16 The Time of Battle Box GachaPull
80× $120 on $2
2015 #94 Full Art/Lugia EX PSA 1 Collector Crypt
79.2× $3,960 on $50

Who ripped the most

Highest-volume wallets this week · public on-chain data, truncated
7nB5…nPKW Collector Crypt
5,535 pulls $444,700 spent
AT1i…47ea Collector Crypt
5,517 pulls $699,625 spent
0x1e…0789 GachaPull
4,008 pulls $28,056 spent
Cam2…JJWf Collector Crypt
3,774 pulls $326,775 spent
8oQz…iCJG Collector Crypt
3,553 pulls $184,600 spent

Price & odds movers

Changes we caught across the packs we watch
One Piece Diamond Pack Courtyard
price $800 → $1,000
Pokémon Mythic Pack Courtyard
price $4,500 → $5,000
Pokémon Legend Pack Courtyard
price $2,000 → $2,500
One Piece Diamond Pack Courtyard
price $1,000 → $800
Pokémon Legend Pack Courtyard
price $2,500 → $2,000
Pokémon Mythic Pack Courtyard
price $5,000 → $4,500
This issue's presented by slot is open. RipIndex reaches people at the exact moment they're deciding whether to rip. Sponsor an issue →
Sponsorships never affect rankings, methodology, or odds labels.
Share on X This is gambling. Almost every pack we track is −EV. This is the receipt, not advice.

Past issues

Every prior week, frozen as published